After reviewing the primaries, i came to a conclusion that McCain was always doing a Little better then the polls predicted, and his wins and losses were all above the margin of error.
in NH he won with a 25% margin over Romney, when the polls showed a tight race with a slight McCain lead of 3 points.
in SC he won with 7 % more then the polls predicted.
in FL he won over Romney 36-31 when the polls showed a tie of 30%.
in MICHIGAN he lost to Romney 38-29 . when the polls showed him getting 26 %
That makes McCain's results between 3 to 12 points more then the polls predict.
So if u take this in consideration my results show McCain with 167 strong electoral votes, 98 leaning predicted electoral votes of NC,IN,MO,CO,NV,FL,OH.
TOTAL OF 265 VOTES
so it comes all down to NM (5) or Virginia (13)
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